Betting on horse races is very exciting; yet, there is no better feeling than when a so-called dark horse (an unexpected underdog) gallops to the finish line. Such long shots surprise even bookmakers, and bettors jubilate with huge winnings. So what really constitutes one, and how can you identify them prior to the race?
In this article, we’ll uncover the secrets behind dark horses and how you can use this knowledge to boost your betting success when using your 22Bet login.
What Is a Dark Horse?
A dark horse is a competitor (usually a horse, athlete, or team) that outdoes expectations by winning. In horse racing, they are ignored by bookmakers and viewers and end up with long odds.
Why Do Dark Horses Win?
Several factors contribute to an underdog’s unexpected victory:
- Underestimated Ability: Some equines perform poorly in early races but improve dramatically later.
- Good Conditions: Track surface, weather, or distance may suit them perfectly.
- Jockey Strategy: A smart jockey can conserve the horse’s energy for a late surge.
- Lack of Attention: Opponents may ignore them. This makes for an easy path to victory.
They might not win all the time. But when they do, the payouts can be enormous.
How to Spot a Potential Dark Horse
Finding a dark horse requires research and strategy, so here’s how to identify one before the race:
1. Study Past Performances
Look beyond recent losses. Some steeds perform poorly in certain conditions but excel in others, so check their history on similar tracks or distances.
2. Watch for Trainer and Jockey Changes
A new trainer or jockey can make a huge difference. If a previously average horse gets a top jockey, they might surprise everyone.
3. Check the Odds Movement
If a horse’s odds suddenly shorten (drop) before the race, it means smart money is coming in… a sign of hidden potential.
4. Look for Overlooked Pedigrees
Some horses come from strong bloodlines but haven’t had a breakout race yet. A well-bred underdog is always worth considering.
Famous Wins in History
History is filled with legendary victories that turned small bets into fortunes. Here are a few:
Donerail (1913 Kentucky Derby)
With odds of 91-1, Donerail remains the longest-shot winner in Kentucky Derby history. A $2 bet paid $184.90, an unimaginable return at the time.
Arcangues (1993 Breeders’ Cup Classic)
This French horse had 133-1 odds and shocked the world by winning when a $1 bet returned $269.20, one of the biggest upsets ever.
Rich Strike (2022 Kentucky Derby)
At 80-1 odds, Rich Strike wasn’t even supposed to race until a last-minute entry. His stunning win proved that to be a good choice.
Should You Bet on Them?
The dark horses are the golden eggs of wagering. Favourites are given all the attention, but the underdog is waiting in the wings. Learning the behaviour from previous races and learning jockey strategies can help you get a better chance to determine the next surprise. Do not bet only on the longshots, but also don’t neglect them entirely, as in some situations, it is the unlikely heroes who show the greatest payoff.